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n 44 I IlOjlrOTOBKA YIlPABJlEH'lECKHX KMPOB AJIIl OPrAHOB I l Y M R Y H o B BJIACTM POCCHACKOFL @EAEPAUWB: COCTOIIHEIE, OPOMEMbl, IIEPCnEKTRBbI: Marepaam Bcepoccrriic~oii HayrHonpa~~HYeCKofi KOH@~~~HUU Tm~e~b-T060nbc~, H. 10--11 omn6pn 2008 mna 1 non pen. nolrropa @nnoco@~~x Haylc. npo$mcopa A.T. 6apa6aluesa. KaunHnam co- AX. Eapn6atuee, n.@.n., npoaeccop ( r n a s ~ b ~ p ke m o p ) B.H. '~JIMCOB, K.m.e., nosem A.m. Cynuos, n.m.H., npo@eccop B.W. Oceiryr, K.+.H.,nouem E.n. C~pywmr,K.w.H.. nouem B H~CTOXIUHAC ~ O P H H KBWIlOWHbl m T b H pBCTHHKOB BCepOCCHfic~oiiH a y C m e c K 0 f i K O H @ ~ ~ ~ H U <H<H~ o ~ U O T O)llpaWeHVeCKHX BK~ KWpOB WH OplXHOB n y 6 n ~ q ~ onnacru ii Poccniic~oROenepaun~:comoneue, npo6neuy nepcnemBU>>,IIp~BeneHHofi 1 0lrrn6pa 2008 TN~M~HCKHM TOCYAapClEeHHblM )'XUB e p C H r e T O M COBMeCTHO C TloMe~cKofi06namnoA &MO$ npaHUTWlL-CTU0M TmM ~ H C K O~ ~~~J I ~ c HT ~ H O C Y ~ ~ P C ~ B YHHBepCrlTeTOM ~ H H ~ ~ M - BYCUIUllMOna 3KOHOMAKH. O r s e ~ c r e e ~ ~ blal ieunycr: i C y ~ u o A.n., s 3acnyxe~~bl2i mpnm PO, n o m p mpnnnrecuHx nayu, npo+eccop, pynosomnw~bannapam KOMTm~enc~oii o6nacmofi A y ~ b tno rocynapcrseHHoMy C T ~ O ~ ~ J I ~ C T nE ZMecTHoMy Y cahtoynpanneenm. I B.A. KPIOKOB 3017.ceKmopo.31 n 3 ~ o ~ a l r t t u e c npo6~le~lrh1 ~11e pasnrrmrrn 3anadrro-Cr1fi1ipc~o~-o 11e~,brneza3oe0zo KO,lfITlleKCa#kfHcmrrm?ma 3KOHO.lbUKl.I 21 Op~OHtl3O~Ull llpfl44bIM.(.WHHOZO npotr?17odcme-a(N30JlR) Cufiupc~ozo omdene~urcPAH lz. Honocurilrpc~), d-p ZIKOH.HU.VK. npoij5eccop; A.E. CEBACTbRHOBA sed,vu(t~kH C ' I H ~ ~( .~O m p . v d d ~ ~ kf30I7I7,K O H3~ KO . H. H U V K : B.B. IIIMAT eed.vu{uzi ~ a v r r r ~cornp)dnun ii kf3017TJ. K O H ~ J. K O H . HWK - Ilpu nonrorosKe rocynapcTeenHblx cnyxaurnx n c n e w a n n c T o s nnn MYY p e 3 ~ b l W f t H 0B U H O 888876 3HaHAII. OPUeHTHPOBaHHble Ha Y Y t T o c o 6 e ~ ~ o c 3KOHOMAKU ~e8 W C O U A ~ I I ~ Hc$epbl O ~ ~ TeX ~ e p p I i T 0 p A f i . me 6 y n y m a ~cneunmucTaM npencTom pa60TaTb H n n P o c c w n . oco6e~riopaiiOHOB Cesepa, C a 6 u p w a AaJIbAer0 B o c ~ o ~uMeeT a. Konoccanwoe 3 u a q e ~ n e Y Y f l o c o 6 e ~ ~ o c ~3KOHOMTiKEi eii A C O U P ~ W ~c$epbl HO~~ T H ((CblpbeBblX peTHOHOB>) - TeX, B 3KOHOMHKe ROTOPblX LIOMHHRPYH)T npUpOll03 K C ~ l I y a T H p ~ L U Ac$epb1 e X O ~ I I ~ ~ C T B ~ IlenTenbHOCTU HHO~ AnII 3KOHOMRKA nono6~b1x~eppmopuii,K a K npasano. xapamepnbc M o H o o T p a c n e a a n cTpymypa SKOHOMMKM. ACYepnaHUe 3anaCOR llOlle3HbfX HCKOnaeMbIX M H ~ Y C T O ~ ~ ~ H R O C 3KOHOTL M U Y ~ C K O GOCHOBbI DeUleHUII COUMaJlbHblX 3ailaY. HHUHnWUTeTOB 4 4 1 3HaqllTenbHBIL JaBHCUMOCTb 3KOHOMWKR U C O ~ ~ ~ ~ W I L .c@epbl H O ~ ~ OT mHaMWKU qen Ha cupbesue ToBapbI H MaTepnaRhl; H ~ Y C T O ~ ' ~ I I B O C3KOJIOrWqeCKUX T~ CnCTeM CeBePHbIX U ~HpaBHeHHblXK HUM T ~ P P W T O P H ~ , n~~006pa3Hblii XapaKTep AUHaMHKU qUCneHH0CTU HaCeneHUR ( O C O ~ ~ H H O 3 ~ a s u ~ e n b ~ bB 1nepnon fi Harana ocsoeHnn nepsbrx ~ec~opomsenr& nonesHMX u c ~ o n a e ~ b l x ) ; CJlOXUble W HW~HOJHallHbleOTHOIUeHUR C BeAYWW KOMnaHURMHpecypcononb3o~a~enn~n ( K ~ npasnno, K qaHcpernoHanbHbrmi no reorpa+nu c ~ o e inenTenb~oc~u). i Bce 3T0 D.eJlae7 H ~ O ~ X O ~ U M DpHBHeCeHUe ~IM B npaKTUKy IIOnrOTOBKU CneUHaJIUCTOB rOCynapCTBeHHOr0 &I MyHHUSinanbHOrO ynpaBJIeHHZ JIJU no~ O ~ H H TX~ P P H T O P W@ ~~ Y H K U U O H ~ ~ H CIIelWaJIW3aUHU. O~ Ee OCHOBHOe Ha3Ha9eHUe - naTb CJIYUlaTWM OCHOBHble 3HmW li 6683Bble HaBblKA &IIX yreTa B npouecce rocynapcTseHHoro a ~ymuunanbHoroynpaBneHnn oco6 e ~ ~ o c ~~ e~ Hf iK U U O H U ~ O B ~ 3KOHOMUKU HUR U c o u ~ a n b ~ o~@epbl fi TeppHTOpnn ccc~pbesokc n e u n m 3 a u u n ~ ~ . I Bb16op conepmunn ~ y ~ ~ u n o u a n bcocramnmurefi ~oi3 nomeH O C H O B ~ I BaTbcm Ha manuse 3anar, pemaeMux opranaMn rocynapcTseHHoro n MYHHunnanbnoro ynpasnewn Ha p m u s n ~ 3x ~ a n a xocsoennn u u c n o m 3 o ~ a ~ ~ n npnponHoro n pecypciioro noTenquana cblpbesofi reppn.ropnn. K rncny o c o 6 e ~ ~ o c ~3anas, e i i KoTopme npnxonurcn peman B cnmeMe rocynapcTseHHoro n Mynuunnanbnoro ynpmnetim, MOXHO o m e m cne< nylomne. 1 ~ o c y n a p c ~ s e ~ wn oMyHnuwnanbHoe e ynpaeneHne npoueccaMw ocsoeHlln H IiCnO~bJOBaHHRIlpUpOAOpeCypCHOrO nOTeHUUana Ha YpOBHe C ~ ~ W K TOB Qe~epaunn,a T a m e Ha yposne OTAM~HMX M y n n u n n m m o s B 3 ~ a q n ~ e n b ~ oc1rneHn il OnpeaemeTcn cneuw@u~oii p a ~ n n w ~BWOB x npnponI HHX pecypcos. cqaTernrecKne none3~brencKonaeMbre; 0 6 1 q e p a c n p o c ~ p a ~ e~n~epanb~o-cbrpbes6lee ~~~e pecypcm 2. OCHOBHO~ ~a3~are~ npoueccos ne H npouenyp ynpawetim ncnonb~ O B ~ H U npnponopecypcnoro ~ M noTeHvnana B rpatinuax n o ~ o 6 ~ bTeppnm ~ o p n iCi B ~ ~ ~c peueHneM H O cnenymurnx n p o 6 n e ~ . $ 0 6 e c n e s e ~ u ey~c ~ o i i r n ~ o c(B ~w CpenHe- n nonmcporrioti n e p c n e m e ) pa3BUTwn 3KOHOMWKU U COUUanbH0fi ~@epbl; pa3euTueM npoueccos n n ~ e p c n @ n ~ a~uK~O nH O M M K HH c@ep ~ i a ~ n m c r w ~ p y n o c n o w 6 ~ oHaceneHun, m muMynuposaHweM npouecws, HanpasneHHarx Ha co3na~nenpoueccos n npOU3BOnCTB, 0 6 e ~ l l e ~ k i ~ a l oBblnyCK l u ~ ~ IlpOAyKUkiU C II~~bllUeIili~g no6 a s n e ~ ~ oCi T i OUMOCT~~; 228 06ecnesenne~3 ~ o n o r n s e c ~ o6e?onacnom ir w B uenoM peann3aunn npuponoc6epera1omeii Monenn ncnonbmBaHun npuponopecypcnoro noTeHunana; coxpaHeweM c p e m npomneaHnn n seneHun ~ p a n n u n o ~ ~xo3nficrofi B ~ H H O neXTWIbHOCTH ~ ~ KOpeHHblMH ManOqWCneHHblMW HapOLlaMW CeBepa. 3. n p u paccMoTpeHwn n p o 6 n e ~rocynapcTseHHoro ynpasnenwn ocsoemeM n u c n o n b ~ o ~ a ~npnponopecypcnoro ne~ noTeHunana. KOTOP~IM pacnOIIXaeT TeppWTOpUX, neo6xonu~oYWWblBaTb O C O ~ ~ H H O C T UptUnU9HblX B ~ O nBp u p o m m pecypco~ u swnennm TaKme UCI'U4aehlble MUHepanbHO-CbIpbeBbIe peCypCb1: BOCIIpOU3BOnUMbIe MUHepaJIbHO-CblpbeBble peCypCb1. B cocTase nmuraeMbIx ~nnepanb~o-cbrpbeebrx pecypcos, B c ~ o mosepem, neo6xonn~os b r n e m b crpaTerurecKue n 0 6 m e p a c n p o c ~ p a ~ e ~ ~ b r e none3me ncKonaeMble. 4. B POCCUU BCe WHOBHble IIOJIHOMO'IHX n0 PelJJeHSilo BOnpOCOB OCBOeHUR N WCItOJlb30BaHUX Cl'pBTel'WleCKHX HCTOUIaeMblX MWHePanbHOCbIpbesbrx pecypcoB - OT npenomameHnn npas Ha n o n b ~ o e a ~ uHenpaMn e no ~brpa60mnycnosuii u Moumopnnra co6nmnennn ycno~uiin o n b ~ o e a ~ u n HenpaMu - cocpenmoretlbl Ha $enepanbwo~yposire. POI% pernoHmbHbIx opranoe rocynapmsennoro ynpaBneHun, a Tame M~HUUEl~~HTeTOB O C O ~ ~ H H 3HaqHMa O Ha CTai7UU WrJIaCOBaHUX ycn0B~fi ~enpononb30~anm. B H a m w e e speMn ~ 0 3 p a c r a mponb ~ H 3~aqe~ue npouenyp reKylqero MoHmopnHra co6nmne~nnycnoswii ~enpononb3o~aHUB. OCHOBHUHallpaBneHHOCTb ZIeJTRilbHOCTU PeIUOH~bHbIX OPraHOB Bnamw - oTpaxeHue B ~ H ~ ~ H ~ R O H HcornameHnnx LIX 3 ~ a m b r x(C T O ~ K W 3peHUn PtUBUW 3KOHOMUKU U C O U U W I ~ H O~@epb1 ~ T~PPUMPHU)YWOBH@. ~ O ~ T O MPOnb Y PerWOHBnbHblX H MYHU4UIIaJIbHbIX OPraHOB BnaCTH H CaMoynpasneHun - oueHKa noqe6noc~efiTeppmopuu c TOVKN 3penun pemeHWX KaK T e K j ' W X , TaK U n p o 6 n e ~6ynyqero pa3BUTUn cbrpbeB0fi TeppHTOpun. n p a ~ m s e c ~Raman u ponb peanu3ye~cnB + o p ~ eysacmn B sb1pa60~Ke ycnosnii npenomaeneann nnuen3nii Ha npaBo nonblosannn nenpaMn. a 3 a ~ Be CsoeBpeMeHHoM ~ UH@O~MU~OB~HM n pHe n c ~ a ~ n ~ e n+enepanbnbrx efi OpraHOB BnaCTU 0 BO3HWKaloLUUX np06ne~axPe~C13aLlMAnaHHblX Y C ~ O B W ~ ~ . K ~HBSUMMM pa3nena~nono6ab1x corname~nir~ o r OyT H~ O C ~ T ~ C ~ . TP~~OEI~HW noI I UCnOJIb30BaHUIO MeCTHblX TOBaPOB W YCJlyr np&i npOH3eoncme pa60-c; npennomennn no p a 3 s m n p o n ? ~ o n c ~ e e n ~Mo fcounanh~ofi i w~+paCrpYmypbl; BOnpOCM I l O m O B K F i KWpOB M W T H O ~pa6orefi ~ CUnbl, a TaKXe U X nocnenymmero n c n o n b s o ~ a ~ unpn n npon3Boncrse p a e o ~ , BOnpWbl OXpaHbl 0~pyXaWluefiCpenbl, BRIlloqan PeKyJlbTUBWHOHHbIe H KOMIleHCiUWOHHble MepO~pM~TLm. 0 ~ 0 6 ~&OK f i BOnPWOB COCTBBIIIIWT ~pe60Bat1~fl no y q w nHTepeCOB KOPeHHblX ME3JIOVUCneHHblX HapOAOB CeBepa OpIieHTHpOBaH n p e w e Beer0 Ha coxpanenwe cpenbl npoxweannn nannbuc Haponoe H C O ~ A ~ H Wycno~Uii II BeneHan TpaLLMUHOHHMX BUJIOB X O ~ X ~ ~ C T B ~ neSTeJlbHOCTU HHO~~ U B 6yilyUeM. 5. Baxneniueii 3anaqen MecTnom caMoynpasneHnn nruvlacn BoBnereHue B npouecc ynpaanenwn ~eppw~opwefi nacenenm, Ha ~ e ngp o m ~ a m u e r0 PeluwTb n a ~ ~ b l6f in o ~3anaq B CJlyVae IlpUPOnHblX PeCYPCOB MOXHO TOnbKO B PaMKaX PaJBHTWIl CWCTeMbl ynpWeHWl Ha OCHOBe <<COylIpmenun,). ~ O ~ T O MBaxnuM Y HanpaBnenueM nruvlmcn 06ecnereme n y 6 m r ~ c ro xapamepa o6cyxnennn ~ a n p a m e ~ uncnonb30~annn k npnponopecypcnor0 noTenqnana. 3 r o npennonaraeT ~ o p m p o s a n a enpoqenyp 06cymaeHMn H IlOnrOTOBKH Y C ~ O B MHenPo-, ~~ peCypCOnOnb3OBiwm (C YqeTOM MHOroo6pa3nn xapamepa, @ o p w~ npamwluf nono6aofi pa6o~sl).H ~ C M OHaT ~ ~ TO,YTO noKa B ~ O C C W ~ ~ C K3OaM~ o ~ o n a ~ e n bMemo c ~ e e naHnbIx npouenyp He onpeaeneHo n wMemcn BecbMa ne6onbmoii onbn KoHcTpymuaHoro nposeneHnn iuaros B nannoM HanpaBnenwu w npoBeneHnu n 0 ~ 0 6 H b lMeponpwn~ TUG, BCe Xe npeJlCTaBJlUC?TCnHe06~0nELMbl~ (POPMHPOB~T~Y rOCynapCTBeHHblX W MYHHlUiIlWIbHblX CJlyXaluUX COOTBeTCTByloluiie HaBblKU U KOMneTeHUWW. n o n r o ~ o e ~w anposeneHwe ny6msnb1x cnymannii, c~n3an~61x c peanu.~auneiirex wnn H H ~ I XnpoenoB B caepe wcnonbmsanwn npupoAopecypcHOCO nOTeHUNE3JIa, npeACT2iBnfiflCn HeCOMHeHHO BaXHblM, H ~ O ~ X O R W U M~IM nepCneKTUBHblM HanpaBneUHeM pa60~1d. f f i l o ' I e ~ b KOMneTeHWMW. I~~ HaBblKBMH, HCXOPIl W 3 U3JlOXeHHOrO 3bIlue npencTaBneHHn 0 POnH U MaTe perUOHanbHslX U MYHHUUnE3JIbHbD; OPraHOB BJlacTU H CaMOynpaBneHHII, AOnXHbI 6bI~b: 1. ~ H ~ K O M C T B C O WHOBBMW ~PHPOnOP~pCHOrO 3ZtKOHOnaTelmCTBa npemne Bcero B O ~ ~ ~ C.~a~onona~enbcrsa, T U csn3a~noroc npenocrasnetlweM npae Ha n o n b 3 o ~ a ~ wHenpaMu. e 2. 3 ~ - e 6a30Bblx OCHOB ~ K O H O M U ~ ~ COIleHKH K O ~ ~ IIPOeKTOB OCBOeHWIl W ncnonmosanwn npnponopecypcHoro noTeeuuana. Y ~ e m eapryMemwpoBSU1HO H 3KOHOMWYeCKW O ~ O C H O B ~ ~ H (POPMHPOB~T~ O COUUBnbHO3KOHOMWqeCKWe YCnOBUS OCBOeHM W WClIOJIb30BaHYUI Hew W IlPUpOnHblX PeCypcOB, KOTOpble OTBeqaloT RHTepeCaM HaCeJleHUX TeppUTOpHU U He CHHXaloT n p e n ~ ~ a ~ n e ~06 k i ~f Ki O H O M U Y ~ C Kuenecoo6pa3~oc~u O~~ Mfi W l U WHO^^ npuponopecypc~oRAeFITenbHOCTH 3. Y ~ e n w ew 3nanne OCHOB npnponooxpannoii nenTenbnocrw - n p e m e Bcero c TOYKH 3penwn oueHKn ~ K O ~ O M Y ~ C Knocnenc~suk ~ X peanumunu 230 npoeKme no ocBoemm w w c n o n b 3 o ~ a ~npnponopecypctroro m narewuwana. 3 ~ a i i u eoco6ennoc~efiM o m o p m r a CocTounun npupon~oficpenbr w npoueccoB ocsoemn H ucnonb3o~a~un npwponopecypcnoro noTeHunana. O c o 6 e n ~ o c ~nwp ~ o n o o x p a ~ ~nemenbHocTw ofi npw ocsoeHwu pa3nwsubn BUnOB IIpUpOnHblX PeCypCOB. 4. 3 ~ a - e cwcrre~urocynapcTgeHHom perymposal-rwn w ynpasneHun OCBOeHUeM U WCnOrm30BaHUeM IIpUpOlIOpeCypCHOrO IlOTeHUUaJIa - CHCTeMa o p m o s rocynapmeeeoro ynpannenun - KaK Ha + e n e p a n b ~ o ~raK , u Ha perUOHal&HOMyp0BHXX OCO~~HHOCTU B ~ ~ U M O ~ ~ W Cpa3nU.lHblX T B U ~ OpraHOB r o c y n a p a ~ e ~ w oB f in a m npw peweHww Tex nnw W H ~ I Xn p o 6 n e ~w BOnpocoeocBoem~uucnom~o~munnpwponopecypcHoronoTeHuwana. 5. I I o ~ u ~ a m o ec o 6 e ~ ~ ~KOHOMUKW o ~ k w 0pra~u3auww- Ha mpacneBOM w KopnopamBHoM ~ ~ O B H X-X B Benyuuix o~pacnnx-nonb3o~a~errnx npwpOnHblX peCypCOB. Oco6oe BHUMBHUe n O J I X U 0 YnenRTbCn 3KOHOMWKe TeX 0~paCJekM TeX BMnOB X O ~ R ~ TAeflTenbHOCTW, B ~ H H O KMOPble ~~ XapaKTepHbI AJlU KOHKPWO~ TePPUTOPUR. 6. H a w ~ n npaKTuqecKux e HaBbIKOB YqaCTUIl B p a 6 o ~ eOpraHOB CHCTeMbl mcynapcmennoro ynpaeneHwn w Mecmoro caMoynpasneHwn - c Torxu 3peEMX COlIpOBOXJJeHUXIIpOUeCCa OCBOeHUX A UCnOSlb30BaHWll IIplrponOpecypcnoro narearmana. npwMeHeme npas u n o n ~ o ~ o s upa3nuq~blx ti oprstioe ncnon~n-renb~ofi H npenc~aememnofir o c y n a p c ~ s e ~ ~BnacTu ok w Mecmoro cauoynpaeneHUB npH PellIeHHM BOnpoCOB OCBOeHUn H UCnOJIb3OBaHlm npUpOn0peCypCnoro noTenwana; pemenne npamsecKwx 3was, HanpameHHbrx Ha ~ 3 a u ~ o n e i i c pa3~s~e nuwbxx opranoB r o c y n a p c ~ s e ~ ~enacrn oE w MecrHoro caMoynpanneHwn npw pemeHww ~ o n p o c o socBoeHnn w wcnorm~osa~un npuponopecypcHoro nmenunana; yMeHwe mTerpnposaTa pemeHne Bonpocoa ocBoeHwn npwponopecypcnoro nmeHunana c pememeM C O U U ~ J I ~ H O - ~ K O H O M W ~ ~ CnKpWoX6 n e ~cb~pbe s m ~eppmopwfi;opwemrmn Ha nonrocpo.cub~fixapamep npwHwMaeMbm Mep u p e a n w 3 y e ~ ~peme~wfi x Ch'MeseHHble Bblme -Jana¶U rOCyJIapCTBeHHOr0 U MyHllUWn8JlbHOrO YnpaBneHUn ~ K O H O M H K O W~ ~ C O U W E ~ J I ~ H O~~ ~@ e p ~CblpbeBblX fi T~PPWTOPA~~ M o l y 6 m ~ @ + ~ K T H B H OH3yYeHbl U YCBOeHbl MnbKO npU lUWpOKOM UCTIOJIb30BaHUH COBPeMeHHblX MeTOAUK CUTyaUWOHHOM) aHaJlW3a. K ¶NCIly CylIleCTseHHbIX npH3HaKOB C ~ a ~ O H H OaHaJlU3a. ~O KOTOPble OTnll'IaHYT ero m rtpyrux aHanrnwrecKwx MeTonoa, o m o c m n : HaJIUYUe MOEenlr, KOTOpan nO3BOJlJIW WMUTHPOBa7b npo6JIe~HyIOCWTYWUW; moroBapnamocra w anbTepnaTwswomb pemewufi np06neMbl; 23 1 K O M e K T H B H a n s b l p a 6 0 ~ ~peruenwfi; a pa3BLiTEi8 T~PPM.I.OPH~ C~UOMMHHPYWUIMM B CTPYKTYPe X O ~ X R C T B BChIPbeBhIM CeKTOPOM (TBKHX, KBK X a ~ ~ b l - M a ~ ~ l l n H c ~R nM ra Ji l 0 - H e H e u K n k '3OBaHHeM ClleUHaJlMsHpOLIaHHblX AO) C HCnOnb- M H @ O P M ~ U H O H H O - ~ H ~ J ~ H T AMOne~~CKHX i l r i i IIOJIHOCTbK) COOTBeTCTBYeT CIepe'IHCIIeHHbIM O ~ U L H Mn P H 3 H a K a M . ~ ~ O ~ J I ~ M H cn~yaunfi, ~ I X nH3a HO OH n o n p e n e n e ~ ~ ocneuu(t)u~ofi. ri npn p a s p a 6 o ~ ~Mee T o n u K a ana- OTnrtraercn 3KOHOMHqeCKOM pB'BMTMM MMeIoUkiX XMAO, C MeLTO B COWaJIbHO- 6~10 H ~ O ~ X O ~ M M O C T HYXHO ~K, YYeCTb n B a BXiKHblX O ~ C T O ~ T W ~ ~ C T B ~ : so-llepeblx, xapaKTep c a M n x n p o 6 n e ~u O C O ~ ~ H H O C Tusysae~oro H 06%- OKTB, .TO C C l b C U U H U ~ H O - ~ K O H O M H V ~ C K CHCTeMbI O~~ BO-sropblx, n o p n n o K nposzneam nnanosblx 06cymneanG n nporpaMM- PYra. ~ ~ ~ O K TaH'UlH3a O M I l B n l e T C I l CnOXHiUI W H a M H 1 I H O P a l B H B a M I l l a R C X CUCT e M a , OTKpblTiiX nIUl B H e U H H X ~ 0 3 J l e k ~ T B k i f i .P ~ ~ B M3 ~T0Hf iCHCTeMH ~ np0- HCXOnHT B YCllOBHRX H e O I I p e n e n e H H O C T H 3KOHOMHYeCKHX H UHCTKTYUWO~ a n b ~ @auopos, b ~ x TO n e n a e T ~ ~ C C M ~ I C J I ~ H H nL oI cMT p o e H n e K~KUX-nu60 no- n e T e p M H H H p O B a H H b l X n p O T H 0 3 0 B B P a C ' I e T e H a TO, q T O OHH C~YLIYTCII. ~an60neeIlpHeMnCMblM IIOnXOLlOM K npOrHO3HpOBrulMIO XBJIXeTCn IlOCTpOeHHe MHOCOBaPHaHTHblX n P O r H 0 3 0 B , OTBeL1aKlUIHX H a BOIIPOC: I TO Gyntlr, ecnn. ..?r ~ ( ~ ) ( ~ ) ~ K T H B H onPOBeAeHHSL cT~ CHTYaUHOHHONl a H a J l H 3 a 3aBUCHT OT MHO- aecma I$amopoa, HO npexne B c e r o c n e n y e T Hrwsarh: 3aBUCHT OT C T e n e H A K O M M ~ H U K ~ ~ ~ J I ~ H O YSaCTHkiKOB. 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I KOTOpbIe IIpHBejlXi K B03HUKHOBeHUlO n a H H 0 f i cmyaum, u B e p o n T H Y x nocnenc~erdiee p a 3 s e p T u s a r m n . B b I n o J I H e H U e n e p e q u c n e H H u x nelcreuii ~ e o 6 x o p x ~ l~ln o TOTO, 9~06b1, 06pa3~0r o B o p n , oTnennm 3 e p ~ aOT m e B e n . HHYMUCJIOB~MU, H y m n 0 BYnemb, TO xe B p a c c ~ a q u ~ a e ~cn-ryawu oii nsnnacn npo6ne~ofi,a o no- ~ O C T O R H H OOCHOSbI ~~ COUWaJIbUO-3KOHOMUSeCKOrO Pa3BUl'lUl PeTHOHa. JTOW HOrO no- nepexon K n p u H u u n a M y m k n ~ o r pa3smn11 o nnn pernounn -..- - chrnw--r-T u n a 0 6 y ~ ~ ~ ~ HUCrOXEJIbHYIO & ~ ~ a e 7 ~ICUBXO;IUMO&~ N $ H ~ H ' ~ ~ c K o ~ ~ > > H @HH~HCOBO ~W ~ B~PCH@HK~IM 3KOHOMWKU, H C03naHWII HORWX WCTOSHHKOB C n y R w r O IlpHqUHaMU, IIOpO~HBlIIUMU npo6ne~y,a 'lT0 OTHOCUTLX B C e m pa3pnny CBOACTB, xapanepu3ym11~1x namym cwlyauum. 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HH~IMH C n o B a M u , ~ B ~ ~ C U @ W K ~ I~KOHOMUKU (WII KPYIIHOTO ~e@~ermonoGbrsammero pernorla M o x e T C ~ ~ O B O I I U ~ O yBc ~n nTe~H H e H H C ~ T ~ U H O H ~ ~ ~ H O % K o H K y p e m H M e w pa3nuqnb1~uO p r a H a M u u 3 ~ a x a ~ macm n u ynpasnenm. ki3y'leHUe I I p 0 6 n e M H b I X ~ ~ B U C H M O C T C ~% O U U ~ ~ ~ H O - ~ K O H O M H ~CAC~CKO~ T e M b l p e T U 0 H a OT @ Y H K U R O H U ~ O B ~ H H XH ~ @ T ~ I ' ~ ~ O BCeKTOpa O~O U KOH@IIUKTH~IXaCIIeKTOB n & t B e p ~ H @ ~ ~ a l l U Pn ~ ~ W O H E U I ~ 3KOHOMUKU HO~~ IlOD.BO- a C TaKUM PaCYeTOM, npomTepnpeTnposaHa m3 pe3yjTbTaTOB @ o p ~ % l b H ~ Pme U l e H U I ) > ,&IX nm6oro IIpOI'HO3HO-aHaJIHTUqeCKOr0 U H C T p y M e H T a p m XapaKTepHbI CBOU O ~ i l H A q e H U I no I B03MOXHOCTIIM H C n O ~ 3 0 B i u l l MT HaMU ~ Kp a, 3 p a 6 0 ~ i l ~ H b l f i UHCT~YM~HT~PW - ~ ~U H @ O P M ~ L U I O H I I O - ~ H ~ I I T W Y ~ C K MOneJIb ~ O l l & S 0 ~ 1 0 - IIO3BOnXeT B CHCTeMHOM BUAe 0 ~ 0 6 p a 3 ~ TBaXHefiLUUe b TeHneHU?iU p a 3 B U l X X C O ~ U ~ ~ ~ H O - ~ K O H O M WCHCTeMbl ~ ~ C K O ~~e@~era3ono6bl- samurero p e m o H a . 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